I would say erosion of values for sure. Most of the high priced purchases were made by older well off farmers. New younger farmers will not have the resources to bid values as high due to the need of more financing along with less equity. The government will come into play as they will see these high valued farmers as a source of revenue to help with the federal debt. High property taxes with soon to come local income taxes will make land a less attractive investment compared to other investment types driving values down. The possibility of a collapse does exist especially if a series of political events helps precipitate a collapse in the commodity markets. There will be far fewer foreclosures and bankruptcy as banks have insisted on higher down payments and equity levels. Still the possibility exists for severe erosion of the balance sheet in short order.
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Today's Featured Article - New Life for an Old Allis - by Tyler Woods. My friend Jon, has an old '39 Allis Chalmers B. He thought it a marginal tractor that had long since served its time. She smoked terribly and never had much power but he couldn't afford another so he was limping along with what he had. Jon's Allis has a small front loader and though it doesn't carry much, it serves his needs. It was the hard starting and low power that made him think it was time to replace the old girl. Jon called me to help him discover why his tractor wouldn't start
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